Currently there are no significant storms
Tropical Weather Outlook
- Monsoon Trough/ITCZ: The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W, transitioning to the ITCZ near 06N20W and extending southwestward to near 03S42W. Scattered moderate convection exists from 00N-03N between 22W-33W.
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Gulf of America: A ridge dominates the Gulf with fresh ENE winds in the SW Gulf due to a surface trough off the Yucatan Peninsula. Moderate winds prevail over the southern two-thirds, with 4 to 7 ft seas, while light to gentle winds and 2 to 4 ft seas are in the northern third.
The high pressure NE of the area will maintain gentle SE winds and tranquil conditions in the NE half into the weekend. The SW Gulf will see moderate fresh east to southeast winds, locally pulsing strong nightly off the NW Yucatan Peninsula.
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Caribbean Sea: A pressure gradient between high pressure north and a 1009 mb Colombian low forces fresh to locally strong NE to E winds in the S Central Caribbean, the Windward and Mona Passages, and downwind of Hispaniola. A surface trough east of the Lesser Antilles disrupts trades, causing gentle winds in E Caribbean.
High pressure north supports pulsing fresh to locally strong NE winds across the central and western Caribbean, gradually diminishing as pressure gradient loosens through late week, leading to moderate winds and seas over the weekend.
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Atlantic Ocean: A surface trough at 60W, combined with a subtropical ridge, causes fresh to strong E winds north of 25N between 50W and 68W, with rough seas and scattered moderate convection N of 25N between 50W and 60W. Winds are moderate to fresh over the Bahamas, Greater Antilles, and Florida Straits, and moderate or weaker elsewhere west of the trough.
Easterly trades are moderate to fresh in the eastern Atlantic, with fresh to strong NE winds near the Canary Islands. The strong winds and rough seas N of 25N and E of 67W will diminish as the trough weakens into the weekend.
Data Source: National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
*Tropical Depression (TD)
A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph. While not a hurricane, it’s a precursor stage that can develop into a more severe storm.
Category 1
Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled.
Category 2
Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads.
Category 3
Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.
Category 4
Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months.
Category 5
Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.