Current Storm Situation — 2025-10-23 06:02 EDT
Overview
As of the current observation, one active named tropical system is present across the monitored region. Tropical Storm Melissa is active in the central Caribbean Sea, displaying a sustained wind speed of 45 mph. The storm is situated south of Hispaniola and east of Central America, over open waters. No other named systems are visible across the eastern Pacific, Gulf of Mexico, or western Atlantic at this time.
Regional Discussion
- Eastern Pacific: No active tropical systems are visible off the coast of Mexico or Central America in the eastern Pacific. The region appears clear of significant cyclonic disturbances at this time.
- Atlantic and Caribbean: Tropical Storm Melissa is the sole active storm, currently located in the central Caribbean Sea. The storm appears moderately organized with a defined center and sustained winds at 45 mph, indicative of a developed but not overly intense system. It lies south of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with notable separation from nearby land masses.
Observed Conditions
- Wind and Seas: The region around Tropical Storm Melissa is likely experiencing gusty winds and increased wave activity in the central Caribbean. These conditions are primarily affecting marine
Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion — 2025-10-23 06:02 EDT
Overview
Tropical Storm Melissa is the primary feature over the Atlantic basin, located southeast of Jamaica with strong convection and seas reaching 20 ft near its center. A cold front extends across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico into Florida and continues into the western Atlantic, with related surface troughs bringing localized showers. Tropical waves and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) continue to support scattered convection in the eastern Atlantic.
Regional Highlights
- Gulf of Mexico: A cold front is positioned from Cape Coral, Florida to near Corpus Christi, Texas. Moderate northeast to east winds prevail north of the front, with seas of 2 to 4 ft. Elsewhere in the basin, winds are gentle to moderate with seas 1 to 3 ft.
- Caribbean: Melissa’s broad circulation dominates most of the basin. Numerous strong thunderstorms are ongoing from 12N to 16N between 70W and 75W. Elevated seas up to 8 ft or more are observed south of Haiti and Jamaica, and moderate to fresh winds persist in the eastern basin and near Cuba.
- Western Atlantic: A cold front stretches from 31N76.5W to central Florida, with a nearby trough extending from 31N72W to 29N75W. Winds range from gentle to moderate SW to NW near these features. A farther eastern front and trough are producing scattered showers north of 25N between 30W and 50W.
Marine Conditions
- Winds: Moderate to fresh easterlies across the southeastern Caribbean and south of 25N between 55W and the Bahamas. Gentle to moderate trades dominate elsewhere.
- Seas: Up to 20 ft near Tropical Storm Melissa. Seas of 5 to 8 ft across the central Caribbean; 5 to 7 ft south of 25N from 55W to the Bahamas; 2 to 4 ft in the Gulf of Mexico.
Source & Method
Summary derived from the NHC Tropical Weather Discussion as of 2025-10-23 06:02 EDT. Present conditions only; no outlooks included.
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
< 39 mph
Minimal effects
74–95 mph
Very dangerous winds
96–110 mph
Extremely dangerous
111–129 mph
Devastating
130–156 mph
Catastrophic
157+ mph
Catastrophic
*Tropical Depression (TD)
A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph. While not a hurricane, it’s a precursor stage that can develop into a more severe storm.
Category 1
Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled.
Category 2
Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads.
Category 3
Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.
Category 4
Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months.
Category 5
Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.