Currently there are no significant storms
Tropical Weather Outlook
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Tropical Waves
- Eastern Atlantic: Tropical wave along 80W, moving westward at 10-15 kt; no significant convection.
- Central Atlantic: Tropical wave along 60W; scattered moderate convection south of 12N and west of 55W.
- Western Caribbean: Tropical wave along 84W; scattered moderate to isolated strong convection west of 82W.
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Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Mauritania and extends to 10N44W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to 14N east of 20W, and from 05N to 10N between 31W and 45W.
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Gulf of America
A stationary front across the northern Gulf Coast is causing showers and isolated thunderstorms. A weak high pressure dominates the region.
Forecast: The front will linger through the weekend and transition to a cold front early next week. Unsettled weather and locally hazardous winds and seas are expected.
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Caribbean Sea
Fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate to locally rough seas persist in the central Caribbean. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are present in the SW and NW Caribbean.
Forecast: The tropical wave in the western Caribbean will create unsettled weather during the weekend. Fresh to strong trades with moderate to rough seas will continue in the central Caribbean.
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Atlantic Ocean
A stationary front from 31N73W to NE Florida causes scattered showers and thunderstorms to the west of 75W. A subtropical ridge maintains moderate or weaker winds elsewhere.
Forecast west of 55W: A low pressure area will form along the front, transitioning it to a cold front by Monday. This will bring fresh to locally strong NE-E winds. Elsewhere, high pressure will continue to influence the general weather pattern.
Data Source: National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
*Tropical Depression (TD)
A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph. While not a hurricane, it’s a precursor stage that can develop into a more severe storm.
Category 1
Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled.
Category 2
Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads.
Category 3
Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.
Category 4
Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months.
Category 5
Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.