Currently there are no significant storms
Tropical Weather Outlook Summary
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
The monsoon trough runs from the southern Mauritania coast and transitions to the ITCZ by Brazil. Moderate to strong convection is observed southeast of the trough and near the ITCZ.
Gulf of America
- Current Conditions: High pressure centered offshore leads to dry and stable conditions in the eastern and central Gulf. Moisture increases in the western Gulf with moderate to fresh winds mainly from the east to southeast.
- Forecast: Expect persistent winds, with enhanced winds near the Yucatan at night. A possible weak cold front may reach the NE Gulf by Saturday night.
Caribbean Sea
- Current Conditions: Increasing moisture and instability in central and eastern zones. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are reported.
- Forecast: High pressure will cause pulsing strong trades near the Windward Passage and south of Cuba through Thursday night, while the rest of the region sees relatively calm conditions through the weekend.
Atlantic Ocean
- Current Conditions: A stationary front from 31N55W to 23N65W with associated scattered showers. High pressure off the U.S. coast and northwest of Bermuda. Fresh winds and high seas noted.
- Forecast: The front will weaken by Thursday, followed by high pressure adjustments. Expect fresh winds to decrease and a possible weak cold front emerging off the U.S. coast by late Saturday night.
Data Source: National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
*Tropical Depression (TD)
A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph. While not a hurricane, it’s a precursor stage that can develop into a more severe storm.
Category 1
Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled.
Category 2
Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads.
Category 3
Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.
Category 4
Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months.
Category 5
Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.